Metropol 2010 Exit poll - FINAL WEEK

[WillPS]

I wish I could understand anybody's rationale for voting Tory.

[Dr Lobster*]

I wish I could understand anybody's rationale for voting Tory.

i would have thought that on this forum at least, the liberals or labour would have had a clear majority.

i think the main problem for labour is that in government, over the last decade or so they have inevitably made some people poorer (or made them feel poorer), broken a couple of manifesto promises and i think have been seen by many a party that rather than reforms, just throws money, our money at problems without real thought.
you can see this time and time again with pfi, bsf and the many disastrous it projects.

i happen to think the labour party have done an awful lot of good over their period in office, but they've also made some cataclysmic mistakes: id cards, the iraq war, trident, 10p tax, weak on crime and so on. i think the electorate will punish them for this at the ballot box.

i'd rather have a labour government than a conservative one but on the grounds of giving the labour party a good kicking, i can see why people would vote tory.

the problem, is that many of these swing voters probably don't actually know what it means to vote tory, or shall we say, the consequences of voting tory.

[Pete]

Quick note to point of this bit of fabness coutesy of Jamesypoo



Thanks James, Thames.

[WillPS]

Nice feature, very minor bug is that the "postcode tracker to the left" is on the right.

[Steve in Pudsey]

this does mean that Ukip, or BNP could sneak in,

I'm expecting that to happen in a neighbouring constituency, where the sitting MP has been there since 1979 and has an 8,000 majority. People are increasingly finding him to be out of touch and a liability.

I suspect that many of labour's supporters will not be prepared to vote for the incumbent, but won't be able to bring themselves to vote for a Tory. So they may abstein, making it easier for one of the others to sneak in.

[barcode]

thats to this: http://news.sky.com/skynews/Election/HowManyMPs

If what the % above was done, Labour would still be the biggest party in Hung parliament

[martindtanderson]

Quick note to point of this bit of fabness coutesy of Jamesypoo



Thanks James, Thames.

Great Idea!

[Pete]

Nice feature, very minor bug is that the "postcode tracker to the left" is on the right.

yes, well, erm. oh I try

[Alex]

thats to this: http://news.sky.com/skynews/Election/HowManyMPs

Thanks, that's an interesting device.

Are there any psephologists on the site (I looked it up ) who could explain the startling discrepancy between votes and seats?
I knew there was some but not that it was so pronounced:
If you move the Labour and Conservative votes to 35% each it predicts 328 seats for Labour, which is 90 seats more than the 238 predicted for the Conservatives.

Is it as obvious as the Labour government having used the Boundaries Commission to move typically Conservative or Liberal areas out of marginal seats and into neighbouring constituencies, where they may have less impact on Labour's chances of winning that seat?
That would seem surprisingly blatant and corrupt.

If you stick the three main parties on 30% each the figures are even worse with the Liberal Democrats being particularly hard done-by:
Labour 313 seats, Conservatives 204 seats, LIberal Democrats 101 seats

[Sput]

Coooeee all. It is WEEK TWO so the Metropoll has been reset and the last results have been downloaded into DimbleBot. Also I trust you people will appreciate that I've now put the parties in alphabetical order!

CAST YOUR VOTES...NOW

Previous results:
Conservative
20
34%

Labour
17
29%

SNP
1
2%

Plaid Cymru
1
2%

Lib Dem
15
26%

Green
1
2%

BNP
0
No votes

UKIP
2
3%

Other
1
2%

[all new Phil]

I find it strange that the Conservatives got the highest number of votes in last week's poll, given that support for them throughout the various threads is not exactly prominent. Not sure what that suggests, other than perhaps those who oppose them are more vocal than those who don't.