I think the Tories will quite possibly get it this time round although their campaign doesn't seem high-profile enough yet. Many people are sick of Labour, and it's certainly NOT in the UK's best interests to let them win.
The whole ethos they promised to bring about and foster in 1997 has not taken place.
The country really needs another Thatcher who will take a no-nonsense approach. Yes she was a bitch but it was the only way the mess left by the awful Cahllaghan administration was going to get properly cleared up.
But I feel that like what's happened in the US elections, Labour will win one more time - just. But they do need Blair to step down after a third term.
Yay for tories. Yay for strikes. Yay for unemployment. Yay for the country going down the tubes. :roll:
As much I loath politics - this labour goverment (and Blair) has been a much needed boost to this country. You can't please everyone.. unlike the tories who pleased even less..
A point I heard raised a while ago, is the issue of people being torn between who they want to run the country and who they want to hold office in their local constituency.
My local MP (Falmouth and Camborne) happens to be a Labour MP (Candy Atherton) who has held office since 1997, after she removed the utterly useless Sebastian Coe from office (however highly regarded he might be elsewhere because of his sporting achievements, he was completely disinterested with the people and the constituency which he was elected to serve, and quite rightly is destested by most people down here). Although Candy is presently caught up in some political correctness twaddle, she has been brilliant for the area and has served her costituency well. I'm assuming that she does intend to stand for election again, and I wish her all the luck in the world for securing a third term down here.
But (and this is a huge but), if I were to vote for her, I would also be helping to re-elect Tony Blair. He on the other hand is a man who I once held high regard for, but as he's sold this country further and further to Europe (and to America on the side), whilst delivering very little for us, I firmly want him out.
So which way do I vote? The person who I most want to be my local MP I am reluctant to vote for because that will also be casting a vote for the person I least want to run the country.
It's a bit of a dillema that one, enough to make it question the system we have for electing a prime minister.
As to who I think will win, although I am loathed to say it, I do think Blair will get in again. I do however believe (despite his denial of it) that, if elected, he will only hold the office of prime minister for another year or so, at which point Gordon Brown will take over. Tory slurs of 'Vote Blair, get Brown' are in all likelihood not misplaced at all.
Michael Howard is to my mind saying the right things and if he follows through with his campaign promises then this country should improve (with taking back this country for ourselves and not allowing it to be desolved into a united states of europe being a priority), but then Blair promised the moon on a stick in 1997 too and hasn't delivered it.
Sadly, public trust in politicians has fallen to such a low level that I feel most people will adopt a 'better the devil you know' approach and re-install Blair.
I cannot stand Tony Blair one little bit. I won't go into another rant about him, but let's just say if he was shot dead in the street next week, I really would smile.
I don't rate Michael Howard particularly highly (the brilliant Andrew Lansley SHOULD be Conservative leader and would make a good PM), but I believe he's got some straight talking policies and seems to have the conviction to put them into motion. Unlike Blair who told us all catagoricaly in 1996 that he would not introduce Top-up fees. Cunt!
I can't understand why ANYONE would vote Lib Dem. A party with ridiculous policies run by a fat, ginger chain-smoking Scot!
Vote Conservative - especially if you live in Sedgefield!!!